United States Senate
Live prediction markets about United States Senate. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
65%
crowd accuracy
44/68
right calls
19
open questions
Biggest miss
The crowd was 81% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 7
17%
Yes
Open questions19
- Will Republicans win 51 or more U.S. Senate seats in the 2026 general election?Closes Nov 3 · Results Nov 117 predictions58%Yes
- Will Sherrod Brown win the Ohio U.S. Senate special election on November 3, 2026?Results Nov 52007 predictions55%Yes
- Will Republicans lose control of the U.S. Senate in the 2026 midterm elections?Results Nov 7431 predictions44%Yes
- Will Adam Telle be confirmed as Secretary of the Army?Results Dec 1424 predictions78%Yes
- Will France's National Assembly hold at least one public plenary debate on the comprehensive bill against sexual and sex-based violence?Results Oct 31218 predictions89%Yes
- Will the RN group file or publicly back a motion of censure against the government over the 2027 budget?Results Dec 1209 predictions63%Yes
- Will the Rassemblement National file or publicly support a motion of censure in the Assemblée nationale?Results Jan 149 predictions66%Yes
How it turned out68
- Will Todd Blanche be confirmed as U.S. Attorney General?Yes
The crowd was 63% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 22 - Will any article of the law banning social networks for under-15s be annulled?Yes
The crowd was 77% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 21 - Will Sen. Mitch McConnell publicly release a doctor‑signed medical report saying he's fit to serve as a U.S. Senator?No
The crowd was 58% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 17 - Will the Conseil constitutionnel strike down at least one provision of the law creating a right to "aide à mourir" transmitted after the National Assembly's review?No
The crowd was 51% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 17 - Will a 'cloture' (vote to end debate) roll-call on the college sports NIL bill get at least 60 'Yea' votes by Aug 14?No
The crowd was 77% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 15 - Will Keith Sonderling be confirmed as U.S. Secretary of Labor on or before August 7, 2026?No
The crowd was 52% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 12 - Will any bill that makes daylight saving time permanent pass the U.S. Senate before Aug 8, 2026?No
The crowd was 67% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 12 - Will 'cloture' (end debate and allow a final vote) on the college sports (NIL) bill get at least 60 yea votes before Aug 7, 2026?No
The crowd was 84% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 10 - Will Todd Blanche be confirmed as U.S. Attorney General before August 8, 2026?No
The crowd was 50% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 8 - Will the U.S. Senate pass the college sports 'NIL' bill before Aug 8?No
The crowd was 54% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 8