🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Sep 14
Will North Korea launch a ballistic missile or publicly declare a weapons test?
37%
Stable · last 24h
164 bets · 3.2K credits1
Details →
PoliticsOpened Jul 24 · Results Aug 8
Will Todd Blanche be confirmed as U.S. Attorney General before August 8, 2026?
50%
Stable · last 24h
📊 24 bettors💎 327 at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Aug 8🤖 Context
YES if, at or before 11:59 PM Eastern Time on August 7, 2026, the official U.S. Senate nomination record on Congress.gov or a roll-call result on Senate.gov shows Todd Blanche’s nomination as "Confirmed". Otherwise NO. If the nomination was formally withdrawn before any confirmation is recorded, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No50%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 50% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: The Senate confirmed Todd Blanche in a 50–49 roll call vote recorded at 4:17 AM on Saturday, August 8, 2026 — after the 11:59 PM ET deadline on August 7. Independent reports also state the confirmation occurred in the early hours of Saturday.
Source: senate.govKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 50%
- Predictions made
- 24
- Credits staked
- 327
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Jul 24, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 6, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 8, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- senate.gov, politico.com, rollcall.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 9 💎
nope, not a chance. the senate's not in the mood to confirm anyone named todd right now! 😂
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