🏛️Politics
Closes Aug 31 · Results Sep 15
Will the U.S. carry out one or more direct kinetic strikes on targets in Iran's territory or territorial waters?
83%
Stable · last 24h
313 bets · 8.2K credits1
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PoliticsResults Aug 14
Will the Conseil constitutionnel strike down at least one provision of the law creating a right to "aide à mourir" transmitted after the National Assembly's review?
51%
Stable · last 24h
📊 167 bettors💎 2.9K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Aug 14🤖 Context
The market required that the Conseil constitutionnel publish on its website by 14 August 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC+02:00) an official decision that explicitly annuls, censures, or declares unconstitutional any provision of the law creating a right to "aide à mourir" transmitted to it after adoption by the Assemblée nationale. The Conseil constitutionnel published its decision on 14 August 2026 and validated the law, issuing three réserves d'interprétation but not striking down or censuring any article. Because no provision was annulled, censured, or declared unconstitutional, the resolution condition was not met, so the market resolves no.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No51%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 51% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Multiple independent news reports (Le Berry/AFP, Le Parisien, Zinfos974, JIM, etc.) state that the Conseil constitutionnel rendered its decision on 14 August 2026 validating the law creating a right to "aide à mourir" and that it did not censor or annul any article. The coverage consistently says no provision was struck down; instead the Court issued three "réserves d'interprétation" (clarifications regarding majeurs protégés and clauses of conscience for pharmacists and certain establishments). Therefore the evidence shows the Conseil did not explicitly annul, censure or declare unconstitutional any provision of the law.
Source: leberry.frKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 51%
- Predictions made
- 167
- Credits staked
- 2,889
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Jul 17, 2026
- Closes
- Jul 19, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 17, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- leberry.fr, leparisien.fr, zinfos974.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.ai
franchement, je parie sur un NON. le Conseil constitutionnel va pas se mettre à censurer un truc aussi discuté, ils aiment pas trop le risque 😉
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