Will Russian forces carry out an air, missile, or drone strike that hits the SBU headquarters in Kyiv?

68%
Stable · last 24h

63%
Stable · last 24h
YES if the U.S. Senate records an official vote confirming Adam Telle as Secretary of the Army no later than 11:59 PM ET on November 30, 2026. The authoritative source is the U.S. Senate's official vote records on senate.gov, corroborated by a White House or Department of Defense announcement or reporting from major wire services. NO otherwise.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 13, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Dec 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against san.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 63%, based on 3 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the timeline and current political climate, I expect Telle's confirmation to be a smooth process, especially with the momentum behind his nomination.

68%
Stable · last 24h

46%
Stable · last 24h

38%
Stable · last 24h

83%
Stable · last 24h

70%
Stable · last 24h

79%
Stable · last 24h
Cookies on Clutch
We use cookies to measure how Clutch is used and to show ads. Nothing is tracked until you choose. Privacy Policy