AFP

OrganizationNational

Live prediction markets about AFP. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.

Crowd track record

86%

of calls the crowd got right

markets settled

The crowd called 18 of 21 settled markets correctly.

Open questions

📍Politics·NationalCloses Dec 31 · Results Jan 1

Will François Hollande publicly declare he is a candidate for the 2027 French presidential election?

45%

Stable · last 24h

2113 bets · 50.5K credits6

Details →

📍Politics·NationalCloses Dec 31 · Results Jan 1

Will France publish a national autism strategy?

31%

Stable · last 24h

148 bets · 3.1K credits1

Details →

📍Politics·NationalCloses Oct 15 · Results Oct 16

Will Anne Hidalgo be placed under formal judicial investigation over alleged violence in after-school programs?

66%

Stable · last 24h

159 bets · 3.2K credits1

Details →

Get the app

The full experience is on mobile

+100💎

Install and create your account to win

Get more credits and unlock everything.

Install the app

📍Politics·NationalCloses Oct 14 · Results Oct 16

Will the comprehensive bill to combat sexist and sexual violence be adopted in a plenary vote?

91%

+1% last 24h

229 bets · 6.5K credits1

Details →

📍Politics·NationalCloses Oct 14 · Results Oct 16

Will the municipal police officer recorded making racist and misogynistic remarks be suspended or dismissed by Carcassonne city hall?

90%

Stable · last 24h

292 bets · 10.6K credits3

Details →

📍Politics·NationalCloses Sep 24 · Results Sep 25

Will Christophe Barthès resign as mayor of Carcassonne?

25%

Stable · last 24h

87 bets · 2.5K credits1

Details →

🌟People·CelebritiesCloses Sep 15

Will the Millon auction of Brigitte Bardot's belongings take place on September 15?

45%

-1% last 24h

155 bets · 5.7K credits1

Details →

📍Politics·NationalCloses Sep 14 · Results Sep 15

Will French police unions call a nationwide mobilization on September 15?

83%

-1% last 24h

192 bets · 5.2K credits1

Details →

📍Politics·NationalResults Oct 9

Will Raphaël Glucksmann publicly withdraw from the Socialist primary?

10%

Stable · last 24h

345 bets · 9.2K credits1

Details →

📍Politics·NationalResults Oct 10

Will Ségolène Royal be on the official second‑round ballot for the Socialist Party primary on Oct 16–17?

21%

Stable · last 24h

198 bets · 4.5K credits1

Details →

How it turned out

Will the FFF Executive Committee officially oppose Gianni Infantino's re‑election?Yes

The crowd was 78% sure, and they nailed it.

Sep 10

Will at least one tornado touch down in metropolitan France?No

The crowd was 72% sure, and they nailed it.

Sep 9

Will the wildfire near Puilaurens be declared contained or extinguished?No

The crowd was 63% sure, and they got it wrong.

Sep 6

Will Folarin Balogun move away from AS Monaco in a permanent transfer or loan?No

The crowd was 61% sure, and they got it wrong.

Sep 2

Will Enric Mas win Stage 10 of La Vuelta 2026 (Alcaraz → Elche de la Sierra)?No

The crowd was 76% sure, and they nailed it.

Sep 1

Will any location in one of these 12 French departments record a wind gust of 100 km/h or more on August 26?Yes

The crowd was 73% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 31

Will Édouard Philippe be in Tourcoing in person for Gérald Darmanin's political 'rentrée' on August 30?Yes

The crowd was 81% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 30

Will Tadej Pogacar win Stage 6 (Alcossebre → Castello) of La Vuelta 2026?Yes

The crowd was 74% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 28

Will Storm Goretti make landfall on metropolitan France?Yes

The crowd was 61% sure, and they got it wrong.

Aug 28

Will the U.S. and Canada publicly announce a bilateral agreement that prevents the U.S. from imposing the proposed 50% tariffs?No

The crowd was 71% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 26

Will Édouard Philippe visit both Mayotte and Réunion in person?Yes

The crowd was 71% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 26

Did the heatwave that began on July 28 include at least 20 days described as 'fortes chaleurs'?Yes

The crowd was 86% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 21

Will the wildfire south of Rennes near Saint‑Just be declared contained?Yes

The crowd was 90% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 21

Will the wildfire near Luglon (Landes) be fully extinguished?No

The crowd was 71% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 19

Will the French National Assembly hold an extraordinary plenary sitting?No

The crowd was 79% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 18

Will France's national thermal indicator meet the 'canicule' threshold?Yes

The crowd was 96% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 17

Will the wildfires in Landes burn more than 1,000 hectares?Yes

The crowd was 92% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 16

Will the Lozère wildfire be declared contained or extinguished by local authorities?Yes

The crowd was 71% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 12

Will the Massif du Claps wildfire have burned more than 600 hectares?No

The crowd was 77% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 12

Will the Saumos (Arcachon Basin, Gironde) megafire be declared 'fixé' (contained)?Yes

The crowd was 89% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 12

Will the main wildfire in Var be contained?No

The crowd was 67% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 2

Crowd track record

Open questions

Will François Hollande publicly declare he is a candidate for the 2027 French presidential election?

Will France publish a national autism strategy?

Will Anne Hidalgo be placed under formal judicial investigation over alleged violence in after-school programs?

The full experience is on mobile

Will the comprehensive bill to combat sexist and sexual violence be adopted in a plenary vote?

Will the municipal police officer recorded making racist and misogynistic remarks be suspended or dismissed by Carcassonne city hall?

Will Christophe Barthès resign as mayor of Carcassonne?

Will the Millon auction of Brigitte Bardot's belongings take place on September 15?

Will French police unions call a nationwide mobilization on September 15?

Will Raphaël Glucksmann publicly withdraw from the Socialist primary?

Will Ségolène Royal be on the official second‑round ballot for the Socialist Party primary on Oct 16–17?

How it turned out

Related topics