Will Russian forces carry out an air, missile, or drone strike that hits the SBU headquarters in Kyiv?

68%
Stable · last 24h

16%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Aug 7YES if the official U.S. Senate roll call on Senate.gov for the specific bill named in the AP News article shows a cloture vote on that bill with at least 60 recorded "yea" votes by 11:59 PM Eastern on August 6, 2026. YES also if Congress.gov's official bill page for that bill shows "Cloture invoked" or shows final passage with at least 60 recorded yeas by that time, or if the Senate used a voice vote or unanimous consent and Senate.gov or Congress.gov lists the bill as "Cloture invoked" or "Passed Senate" by the deadline. If the AP article does not identify a uniquely identifiable bill number or title that can be matched on Congress.gov or Senate.gov, this market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settled16%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 84% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: No cloture vote on the college sports (NIL) bill was recorded by Aug. 6, 2026. The Senate’s official roll call list shows no cloture vote on that legislation on Aug. 6 (or at all that week), and multiple independent reports state the Senate adjourned for recess without holding a vote, with consideration pushed to September. Therefore, at least 60 yea votes to invoke cloture were not recorded by the deadline.
Source: senate.govSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledoh, this one's gonna happen! college sports need this cash, and 60 votes ain't that much when the $$ is on the line. let's go! 💰

68%
Stable · last 24h

80%
Stable · last 24h

69%
Stable · last 24h

75%
Stable · last 24h

28%
Stable · last 24h

35%
Stable · last 24h
Cookies on Clutch
We use cookies to measure how Clutch is used and to show ads. Nothing is tracked until you choose. Privacy Policy