Will Algeria restore the death penalty for people who deliberately set wildfires?

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Resolved: No
Results Aug 8YES if, by 11:59 PM on August 7, 2026 Eastern Time, the official U.S. Senate roll-call vote records on Congress.gov or the U.S. Senate Clerk's official vote list show final passage of the same piece of legislation described in the AP News article, with a roll-call entry recorded as "Passed" or "Agreed to". NO otherwise. If the Senate records only a cloture or other procedural vote, or if the legislation described in the AP article is withdrawn or replaced by a materially different bill before final passage, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settled46%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 54% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The supplied evidence contains no Senate roll-call record showing final passage. The official legislative page for S.4668 (Protect College Sports Act) shows its latest Senate action as a cloture motion on 2026-08-05 and lists the bill status as Introduced, with no entry showing ‘Passed’ or ‘Agreed to’. Contemporaneous reporting (The Hill, 2026-08-07) describes the bill as still holding up the Senate’s path to recess and Senate leaders seeking consent to move forward, i.e. the measure remained pending as of Aug. 7. Multiple news items in the pool report negotiations and sponsorship comments but do not report any recorded Senate roll-call with result “Passed” or “Agreed to” by the deadline. On the basis of the official bill status and same-day reporting in the provided evidence, the Senate had not recorded final passage of the NIL bill by 11:59 PM ET on August 7, 2026.
Source: congress.govSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledlol, good luck with that. the Senate can't even agree on lunch, let alone a 'NIL' bill. it's a no from me! 🍕

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