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🎭CultureCloses Nov 21 · Results Nov 22

Will the jury‑appointed prizes at the 61st Venice Biennale be reinstated before the exhibition ends in November 2026?

36%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 36%No 64%

61 bets · 1.1K creditsDetails →

📈EconomyCloses Sep 15 · Results Sep 30

Will the OECD’s 2026 global GDP growth forecast remain at or above 2.8% in its next update?

47%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 47%No 53%

65 bets · 1.1K creditsDetails →

🔬ScienceCloses Jun 29 · Results Jun 30

Will the international team’s new sea‑level‑rise study be published in a peer‑reviewed journal by end of June 2026?

52%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 52%No 48%

59 bets · 1.2K creditsDetails →

🎬EntertainmentCloses May 22

Will Cristian Mungiu win a second Palme d’Or at Cannes this year?

29%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 29%No 71%

61 bets · 1.1K creditsDetails →

📈EconomyCloses Jul 1

Will U.S. Manufacturing PMI (S&P Global) exceed 55.0 in June 2026?

63%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 63%No 37%

137 bets · 2.3K creditsDetails →

🔬ScienceCloses Dec 31

Will NASA’s Psyche mission detect a metal-rich asteroid during its current survey phase by end of 2026?

39%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 39%No 61%

129 bets · 2.5K creditsDetails →

💻TechCloses Jun 29 · Results Jun 30

Will the Biden administration’s new executive order requiring voluntary 30‑day model review for advanced AI models be formally published in the Federal Register by June 30, 2026?

67%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 67%No 33%

140 bets · 2.6K creditsDetails →

🎬EntertainmentCloses Jun 5 · Results Jun 8

Will “Backrooms” remain #1 at the US box office in its second weekend (June 5–7)?

66%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 66%No 34%

145 bets · 2.6K creditsDetails →

🏛️PoliticsCloses Jun 11 · Results Jun 12

Will the Senate pass the three-year FISA Section 702 reauthorization by June 12, 2026?

64%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 64%No 36%

135 bets · 2.6K creditsDetails →

🌀OtherCloses Dec 14 · Results Dec 15

Will President Vladimir Putin attend the G20 Summit in Miami in December 2026?

38%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 38%No 62%

212 bets · 3.8K creditsDetails →

🎭CultureCloses Mar 10

Will ‘Fjord’ by Cristian Mungiu win Best International Feature at the 2026 Oscars?

27%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 27%No 73%

207 bets · 3.7K creditsDetails →

📈EconomyCloses Dec 31 · Results Jan 15

Will global headline inflation in G20 countries exceed 4.2% in 2026?

71%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 71%No 29%

203 bets · 3.9K creditsDetails →

🔬ScienceCloses Aug 31 · Results Sep 15

Will the WMO-confirmed El Niño during June–August 2026 raise global average temperature above the June–August 1991–2020 baseline?

73%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 73%No 27%

205 bets · 3.8K creditsDetails →

💻TechCloses Jun 8

Will Microsoft officially release Aion 1.0 Plan as a downloadable local AI model for Windows 11 during WWDC 2026 keynote?

65%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 65%No 35%

207 bets · 3.5K creditsDetails →

🎬EntertainmentCloses Dec 30 · Results Jan 5

Will Season 4 of “The White Lotus” be released globally on HBO Max by end of 2026?

60%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 60%No 40%

211 bets · 3.6K creditsDetails →

🏛️PoliticsCloses Jun 17 · Results Jun 19

Will the EU open the first accession negotiation cluster with Ukraine at the June 2026 summit?

64%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 64%No 36%

220 bets · 3.7K creditsDetails →

🎭CultureCloses Jun 29 · Results Jun 30

Will Pentatonix’s Kirstin Maldonado still be playing Anne Boleyn in SIX on Broadway on June 30, 2026?

67%

+2% last 24h

Yes 67%No 33%

258 bets · 5.1K creditsDetails →

💻TechCloses Jun 15 · Results Jul 1

Will President Trump’s AI executive order prompt at least one major U.S. AI company to delay a model release beyond the voluntary 30‑day preview window?

33%

+6% last 24h

Yes 33%No 67%

265 bets · 5K creditsDetails →

🎬EntertainmentCloses Dec 31 · Results Jan 1

Will Questlove’s Earth, Wind & Fire documentary receive a US streaming release on HBO/HBO Max by end of 2026?

74%

-2% last 24h

Yes 74%No 26%

269 bets · 5.4K creditsDetails →

Trending

Will the June UN Climate Meetings (SB64) in Bonn conclude with an agreement on doubling adaptation finance commitments?

All markets

Will the jury‑appointed prizes at the 61st Venice Biennale be reinstated before the exhibition ends in November 2026?

Will the OECD’s 2026 global GDP growth forecast remain at or above 2.8% in its next update?

Will the international team’s new sea‑level‑rise study be published in a peer‑reviewed journal by end of June 2026?

Will Cristian Mungiu win a second Palme d’Or at Cannes this year?

Will U.S. Manufacturing PMI (S&P Global) exceed 55.0 in June 2026?

Will NASA’s Psyche mission detect a metal-rich asteroid during its current survey phase by end of 2026?

Will the Biden administration’s new executive order requiring voluntary 30‑day model review for advanced AI models be formally published in the Federal Register by June 30, 2026?

Will “Backrooms” remain #1 at the US box office in its second weekend (June 5–7)?

Will the Senate pass the three-year FISA Section 702 reauthorization by June 12, 2026?

Will President Vladimir Putin attend the G20 Summit in Miami in December 2026?

Will ‘Fjord’ by Cristian Mungiu win Best International Feature at the 2026 Oscars?

Will global headline inflation in G20 countries exceed 4.2% in 2026?

Will the WMO-confirmed El Niño during June–August 2026 raise global average temperature above the June–August 1991–2020 baseline?

Will Microsoft officially release Aion 1.0 Plan as a downloadable local AI model for Windows 11 during WWDC 2026 keynote?

Will Season 4 of “The White Lotus” be released globally on HBO Max by end of 2026?

Will the EU open the first accession negotiation cluster with Ukraine at the June 2026 summit?

Will Pentatonix’s Kirstin Maldonado still be playing Anne Boleyn in SIX on Broadway on June 30, 2026?

Will President Trump’s AI executive order prompt at least one major U.S. AI company to delay a model release beyond the voluntary 30‑day preview window?

Will Questlove’s Earth, Wind & Fire documentary receive a US streaming release on HBO/HBO Max by end of 2026?

Trending

Will the June UN Climate Meetings (SB64) in Bonn conclude with an agreement on doubling adaptation finance commitments?

All markets

Will the jury‑appointed prizes at the 61st Venice Biennale be reinstated before the exhibition ends in November 2026?

Will the OECD’s 2026 global GDP growth forecast remain at or above 2.8% in its next update?

Will the international team’s new sea‑level‑rise study be published in a peer‑reviewed journal by end of June 2026?

Will Cristian Mungiu win a second Palme d’Or at Cannes this year?

Will U.S. Manufacturing PMI (S&P Global) exceed 55.0 in June 2026?

Will NASA’s Psyche mission detect a metal-rich asteroid during its current survey phase by end of 2026?

Will the Biden administration’s new executive order requiring voluntary 30‑day model review for advanced AI models be formally published in the Federal Register by June 30, 2026?

Will “Backrooms” remain #1 at the US box office in its second weekend (June 5–7)?

Will the Senate pass the three-year FISA Section 702 reauthorization by June 12, 2026?

Will President Vladimir Putin attend the G20 Summit in Miami in December 2026?

Will ‘Fjord’ by Cristian Mungiu win Best International Feature at the 2026 Oscars?

Will global headline inflation in G20 countries exceed 4.2% in 2026?

Will the WMO-confirmed El Niño during June–August 2026 raise global average temperature above the June–August 1991–2020 baseline?

Will Microsoft officially release Aion 1.0 Plan as a downloadable local AI model for Windows 11 during WWDC 2026 keynote?

Will Season 4 of “The White Lotus” be released globally on HBO Max by end of 2026?

Will the EU open the first accession negotiation cluster with Ukraine at the June 2026 summit?

Will Pentatonix’s Kirstin Maldonado still be playing Anne Boleyn in SIX on Broadway on June 30, 2026?

Will President Trump’s AI executive order prompt at least one major U.S. AI company to delay a model release beyond the voluntary 30‑day preview window?

Will Questlove’s Earth, Wind & Fire documentary receive a US streaming release on HBO/HBO Max by end of 2026?

Will U.S. Manufacturing PMI (S&P Global) exceed 55.0 in June 2026?

Will “Backrooms” remain #1 at the US box office in its second weekend (June 5–7)?

Will the Senate pass the three-year FISA Section 702 reauthorization by June 12, 2026?

Will the WMO-confirmed El Niño during June–August 2026 raise global average temperature above the June–August 1991–2020 baseline?

Will Season 4 of “The White Lotus” be released globally on HBO Max by end of 2026?

Will Pentatonix’s Kirstin Maldonado still be playing Anne Boleyn in SIX on Broadway on June 30, 2026?