📍Politics·NationalCloses Oct 31 · Results Nov 1
Will the French government announce concrete, funded measures for lycées in response to the student mobilization?
66%
Stable · last 24h
688 bets · 18K credits10
Details →French Government
Live prediction markets about French Government. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
74%
crowd accuracy
14/19
right calls
7
open questions
Biggest miss
Will France convene an extraordinary parliamentary session in early July 2026 to fast‑track the RIPOST security bill?
NoThe crowd was 72% sure, and they got it wrong.
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Will the French government announce concrete, funded measures for lycées in response to the student mobilization?
The crowd's YES odds since Oct 7
66%
Yes
Open questions7
📍Politics·NationalResults Oct 27
Will garde à vue be extended from 48 to 72 hours for suspects charged with "criminalité organisée" linked to the October 17, 2026 unrest?
69%
Stable · last 24h
240 bets · 10.9K credits3
Details →📍Politics·NationalResults Oct 27
Will the French Prime Minister hold a meeting with party leaders, union reps, and representatives of high‑school and university students to discuss the October 17 unrest?
86%
Stable · last 24h
235 bets · 9.6K credits3
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💻TechResults Jan 15
Will France’s government complete the migration of its National Health platform to a sovereign cloud by end of 2026?
65%
Stable · last 24h
47 bets · 698 credits0
Details →💻TechResults Jan 1
Will France complete the migration of at least 2 million government workstations to Linux by end of 2026?
65%
Stable · last 24h
19 bets · 227 credits0
Details →How it turned out19
- Will France declare a nationwide state of emergency or order the military to help police the country over the Oct 17 protests?Yes
The crowd was 66% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 23 - Will Article 49(3) be used to force-passage of the revenue ('partie "recettes"') section of the 2027 finance bill?No
The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 21 - Will all French ministries have submitted plans or begun migrating from Windows to Linux by autumn 2026?No
The crowd was 57% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 15 - Will aid for businesses hit by the Gironde wildfires be extended?No
The crowd was 68% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 5 - Will France’s €1.5 billion quantum and microchip tech package result in a public R&D funding call launch by end of Q3 2026?Yes
The crowd was 56% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 2 - Will the draft 2027 budget be presented to the Conseil des ministres?No
The crowd was 65% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 1 - Will the French government formally present and publish the 2027 budget on September 30?No
The crowd was 66% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 1 - Will the Fibre Excellence plant in Saint‑Gaudens be temporarily nationalised or put under temporary public administration?No
The crowd was 86% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 16 - Will a private insurer be publicly named for refusing to indemnify wildfire victims in Gironde or the Var?No
The crowd was 68% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 9 - Will France publish its national electronics strategy (“Semi‑conducteurs 2035”) by end of July 2026?No
The crowd was 56% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 2