🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Nov 11
Will the US carry out additional military strikes in or directly over the Strait of Hormuz?
53%
-1% last 24h
1516 bets · 45.7K credits
20Politics predictions
Prediction markets on politics: elections, votes, appointments, and policy calls. Back YES or NO with credits and watch the odds shift as the community weighs in on what happens next.
🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Nov 17 · Results Nov 18
Will any country carry out a direct military strike on Iranian territory, including its islands?
33%
Stable · last 24h
939 bets · 28.3K credits10
Details →📍Politics·NationalCloses Jan 1
Will A.B. 2047 become California law?
53%
Stable · last 24h
473 bets · 12K credits2
Details →🏛️Politics·ParliamentCloses Nov 17 · Results Nov 18
Will Ulf Kristersson be confirmed as Sweden's Prime Minister?
51%
-1% last 24h
471 bets · 22.1K credits5
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🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Nov 14 · Results Nov 16
Will Israel and Hamas publicly announce a mutual ceasefire covering Gaza and adjacent areas?
10%
Stable · last 24h
440 bets · 15.4K credits10
Details →📍Politics·NationalCloses Dec 7
Will President Donald Trump attend the Kennedy Center Honors at Capital One Arena on December 7?
43%
Stable · last 24h
420 bets · 7.5K credits1
Details →📍Politics·NationalCloses Dec 31 · Results Jan 1
Will the Missouri congressional map case be decided by the U.S. Supreme Court?
77%
Stable · last 24h
417 bets · 7.9K credits1
Details →🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Nov 13 · Results Nov 14
Will the cyberattack on refrigeration units at six US military bases be publicly attributed to a named foreign state?
38%
+1% last 24h
415 bets · 12.9K credits3
Details →📍Politics·NationalCloses Dec 31 · Results Jan 1
Will the HHS directive on medical care for transgender youth be blocked nationwide?
44%
Stable · last 24h
411 bets · 7.4K credits1
Details →📍Politics·NationalCloses Dec 7 · Results Dec 8
Will President Donald J. Trump be physically present at the Kennedy Center Honors at Capital One Arena on December 7?
43%
Stable · last 24h
407 bets · 7.8K credits1
Details →🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Nov 15 · Results Nov 16
Will the temporary ceasefire that allowed Oleshky's evacuation be extended by both sides?
38%
Stable · last 24h
386 bets · 13K credits5
Details →🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Nov 12 · Results Nov 13
Will the United States carry out a kinetic strike inside Iran?
52%
-1% last 24h
373 bets · 14.9K credits6
Details →🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Nov 18 · Results Nov 22
Will Russia and Ukraine both publicly announce a bilateral, nationwide ceasefire?
9%
Stable · last 24h
316 bets · 11.4K credits4
Details →🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Nov 10 · Results Nov 11
Will a face-to-face negotiation meeting in Abu Dhabi include official delegations from the US, Russia, and Ukraine?
65%
+3% last 24h
304 bets · 13.5K credits6
Details →🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Nov 11 · Results Nov 12
Will Likud file an official electoral or criminal complaint claiming votes by Arab parties or in Arab‑majority polling stations were fraudulent?
41%
-1% last 24h
289 bets · 13.2K credits7
Details →🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Nov 15 · Results Nov 16
Will a named foreign state, government, or organization be publicly blamed for interfering in Israel's 2026 election?
42%
Stable · last 24h
285 bets · 11.7K credits3
Details →🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Nov 14 · Results Nov 15
Will Ukrainian and Russian delegations both attend and take part in trilateral talks in Abu Dhabi?
72%
+4% last 24h
265 bets · 9.9K credits2
Details →🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Nov 12 · Results Nov 13
Will the 5 November 2026 hoax bomb threats be publicly attributed to Iran?
16%
Stable · last 24h
262 bets · 7.6K credits5
Details →🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Nov 12 · Results Nov 13
Will the 5 November hoax bomb threats against European airlines and airports be publicly attributed to Russia?
28%
-2% last 24h
252 bets · 8K credits4
Details →🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Nov 20 · Results Nov 21
Are the bomb threats targeting European airlines and media outlets linked?
42%
-2% last 24h
249 bets · 7.1K credits2
Details →🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Nov 16 · Results Nov 17
Will Iran publicly and explicitly deny it was behind the supermarket fridge/freezer hack?
31%
Stable · last 24h
230 bets · 7.7K credits3
Details →
@alexandre.flex
On Friday, November 6, 2026, American President Donald Trump publicly declared and confirmed to reporters that American forces had carried out "minor strikes" to destroy a small Iranian air defense system.