United States

Place

Live prediction markets about United States. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.

Crowd track record

64%

of calls the crowd got right

markets settled

The crowd called 16 of 25 settled markets correctly.

Open questions

🏛️PoliticsResults Nov 5

Will Democrats win control of the U.S. House of Representatives in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections?

51%

Stable · last 24h

23 bets · 645 credits0

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How it turned out

Will the U.S. GDP growth rate for Q2 2026 exceed 3.0% annualized?No

The crowd was 54% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 29

Will DARPA’s Robotic Servicing of Geosynchronous Satellite (RSGS) demonstrator successfully launch by July 31, 2026?Yes

The crowd was 52% sure, and they got it wrong.

Aug 2

Will U.S. real GDP growth exceed 2.3% in Q2 2026?No

The crowd was 65% sure, and they got it wrong.

Jul 31

Will the U.S. headline CPI exceed 4.0% year‑over‑year in June 2026?No

The crowd was 65% sure, and they nailed it.

Jul 15

Will US tech sector cumulative layoffs exceed 150,000 by June 30, 2026?Yes

The crowd was 53% sure, and they got it wrong.

Jul 6

Will the Biden administration’s new executive order requiring voluntary 30‑day model review for advanced AI models be formally published in the Federal Register by June 30, 2026?No

The crowd was 72% sure, and they got it wrong.

Jul 1

Will average prices of consumer electronics in the US hit their lowest point of 2026 during Prime Day week (June 23–26)?No

The crowd was 71% sure, and they got it wrong.

Jun 27

Will the U.S. first‑quarter 2026 GDP second estimate growth rate be revised lower than 1.6%?No

The crowd was 55% sure, and they nailed it.

Jun 27

Will the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis report Q1 2026 real GDP annualized growth at 1.5% or lower in its third estimate on June 25, 2026?No

The crowd was 69% sure, and they nailed it.

Jun 25

Will President Trump sign the $70 billion ICE and border enforcement bill into law by June 20, 2026?Yes

The crowd was 58% sure, and they nailed it.

Jun 21

Will the United States 🇺🇸 beat Australia 🇦🇺 in their match on June 19, 2026?Yes

The crowd was 66% sure, and they nailed it.

Jun 19

Will AMC’s Arena One live simulcast of Bebe Rexha’s concert on June 17, 2026 screen in over 300 U.S. locations?No

The crowd was 62% sure, and they got it wrong.

Jun 19

Will NBC or the White House officially release the full unaired footage of Trump’s 'Meet the Press' interview by June 18, 2026?No

The crowd was 72% sure, and they nailed it.

Jun 19

Will the G7 leaders issue a joint Leaders’ Communiqué signed by all seven at the Evian summit?Yes

The crowd was 61% sure, and they got it wrong.

Jun 19

Will the United States 🇺🇸 beat Paraguay 🇵🇾 in their World Cup match on June 12, 2026?Yes

The crowd was 68% sure, and they nailed it.

Jun 13

Will the Motorola Edge (2026) be available for purchase in the US on June 11, 2026?Yes

The crowd was 81% sure, and they nailed it.

Jun 12

Will a US artist win Album of the Year at the 2026 Libera Awards?Yes

The crowd was 55% sure, and they nailed it.

Jun 10

Will the U.S. President sign the Iran–U.S. 60‑day ceasefire MOU by June 5, 2026?No

The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.

Jun 7

Will the U.S. House pass DHS funding, including ICE and Border Patrol, by June 5, 2026?No

The crowd was 62% sure, and they nailed it.

Jun 7

Will the U.S. unemployment rate (U3) exceed 4.4% in the June 5, 2026 report?No

The crowd was 67% sure, and they nailed it.

Jun 6

Will the U.S. unemployment rate fall below 4.0% in May 2026?No

The crowd was 58% sure, and they nailed it.

Jun 6

Will the U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls increase by more than 200,000 in June 2026?No

The crowd was 68% sure, and they nailed it.

Jun 5

Will U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending May 30, 2026 exceed 215,000?Yes

The crowd was 72% sure, and they got it wrong.

Jun 5

Will the US trade delegation finalize an interim trade agreement with India by June 4, 2026?No

The crowd was 51% sure, and they nailed it.

Jun 5

Will US real GDP growth in Q1 2026 be revised upward in the BEA’s May 28 second estimate?No

The crowd was 63% sure, and they nailed it.

May 28

Crowd track record

Open questions

Will Democrats win control of the U.S. House of Representatives in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections?

The full experience is on mobile

How it turned out

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