Will a bill be filed to ban or penalize deliberate lies in politics?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than November 30, 2026, a legislative text (a proposition de loi or a proposition de résolution that includes corrective legal text) is formally registered and published in the official docket of the French Assemblée nationale or the Sénat, and its title or explanatory memorandum states that its primary purpose is to prohibit, penalize, or create ineligibility sanctions for deliberate false statements by political actors. Official registers of the Assemblée nationale or the Sénat are the primary sources, and secondary evidence from multiple major national news outlets that explicitly quote the parliamentary registration is also acceptable. NO if no such formal parliamentary filing is registered by that deadline; party manifestos, blog posts, press calls, or internal party proposals that are not formally filed do not count.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Nov 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Dec 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against franceinfo.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 21%, based on 48 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

21%

Predictions made

48

Credits staked

1,724

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 5, 2026

Closes

Nov 30, 2026

Expected resolution

Dec 1, 2026

Resolution source

franceinfo.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Nov 30, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Dec 1, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 21% and NO 79%, based on 48 predictions and 1.7K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against franceinfo.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will a bill be filed to ban or penalize deliberate lies in politics?” real-money betting?

No. “Will a bill be filed to ban or penalize deliberate lies in politics?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.