France
Live prediction markets about France. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
75%
crowd accuracy
293/393
right calls
49
open questions
Biggest miss
Will Bigflo & Oli’s €100,000 ZEvent donation be publicly listed as received?
NoThe crowd was 95% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will a bill be filed to ban or penalize deliberate lies in politics?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 8
15%
Yes
Open questions49
- Will "Le fondateur" be in Edistat's top 5 on November 6?Results Nov 6119 predictions36%Yes
- Will France’s government complete the migration of its National Health platform to a sovereign cloud by end of 2026?Results Jan 1547 predictions65%Yes
- Will France complete the migration of at least 2 million government workstations to Linux by end of 2026?Results Jan 119 predictions65%Yes
- Will France’s year‑long 200th anniversary of photography launch in autumn 2026 with an exhibition at the Grand Palais?Results Jan 114 predictions55%Yes
- Will France’s economy avoid a technical recession (two consecutive quarters of negative GDP) by end of Q3 2026?Results Nov 212 predictions49%Yes
- Will France’s 2027 budget bill include fiscal reform enabling agent‑AI stablecoin payments by the end of 2026?Results Jan 112 predictions40%Yes
- Will France’s Lucy photonic quantum computer perform its first public demonstration by end of 2026?Results Jan 19 predictions39%Yes
- Will France’s Health Data Hub be fully migrated off Microsoft Azure by end of 2026?Results Jan 18 predictions48%Yes
- Will France’s new €1 billion quantum computing investment result in a working universal quantum prototype by end of 2027?Results Jan 168 predictions35%Yes
- Will AMD-powered 'Alice Recoque' supercomputer enter operation in France before end of 2026?Results Jan 167 predictions54%Yes
- Will France maintain its 2026 GDP growth forecast at or above 0.8% in the autumn macroeconomic update?Results Dec 16 predictions55%Yes
- Will microrobots magnéto‑plasmoniques printed in 4D be demonstrated functioning under infrared and magnetic control in a public scientific demonstration in France by end of 2026?Results Jan 16 predictions31%Yes
How it turned out393
- At 06:00 CEST (UTC+02:00) on August 1, 2026, will any French department be orange for thunderstorms?No
The crowd was 63% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 1 - Will Marine Le Pen's 'major air conditioning plan' be implemented by July 31, 2026?No
The crowd was 93% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 1 - Will a book not currently in the top 5 enter France's top 5 bestsellers on or after Thursday, July 30, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 59% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 31 - Will France’s real GDP grow in Q2 2026 compared to Q1 2026?Yes
The crowd was 65% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 31 - Will exactly 21 mainland French departments be in 'vigilance orange' for the heatwave on July 31, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 65% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 31 - Will at least one French département be in 'vigilance rouge' for heat on July 29, 2026?No
The crowd was 61% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 29 - Will the Edistat top 5 include a book with an EAN different from the five listed on or after Tuesday, July 28, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 54% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 29 - Will Zinédine Zidane be named head coach of France's men's national team by July 28, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 77% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 29 - Will 'The Odyssey' be France weekend box-office #1 for July 22–26, 2026?No
The crowd was 94% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 28 - Will any French department be in 'Niveau Rouge' (top alert for extreme heat) for a heatwave on July 28, 2026?No
The crowd was 70% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 28