Météo-France

OrganizationWeather

Live prediction markets about Météo-France. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.

Crowd track record

75%

of calls the crowd got right

markets settled

The crowd called 15 of 20 settled markets correctly.

Open questions

No open questions on this topic right now — check back soon.

How it turned out

Will any official Météo‑France station in mainland France record a daily high of at least 40.0°C on July 28, 2026?Yes

The crowd was 68% sure, and they got it wrong.

Aug 1

Will any French department be under an orange or red heatwave alert between July 28 and August 3, 2026?Yes

The crowd was 95% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 1

Will any French department be in 'Niveau Rouge' (top alert for extreme heat) for a heatwave on July 28, 2026?No

The crowd was 70% sure, and they nailed it.

Jul 28

Will one of the eight Île-de-France départements be placed under an orange thunderstorm warning before 19 July 2026?Yes

The crowd was 55% sure, and they nailed it.

Jul 26

Will any official Météo‑France station in metropolitan France report a daily maximum temperature of at least 40.0 °C on July 18?No

The crowd was 61% sure, and they nailed it.

Jul 26

Will any French department be orange or red for thunderstorms on Sunday, July 26, 2026?No

The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.

Jul 26

Will one or more French départements be marked 'Red' for heat wave on July 22, 2026 at 12:00 CEST?No

The crowd was 76% sure, and they nailed it.

Jul 22

Will Météo-France issue a vigilance orange or red alert for Paris on July 18, 2026?No

The crowd was 88% sure, and they nailed it.

Jul 18

Will Météo-France issue a red-level alert for at least one department on July 17, 2026?No

The crowd was 74% sure, and they nailed it.

Jul 17

Will Météo-France issue a red-level heatwave alert for Paris on July 16, 2026?No

The crowd was 94% sure, and they nailed it.

Jul 16

Will Météo-France issue a vigilance rouge alert for Paris on July 14, 2026?Yes

The crowd was 82% sure, and they nailed it.

Jul 14

Will Météo-France issue a red-level heatwave alert for Paris on July 13, 2026?Yes

The crowd was 86% sure, and they nailed it.

Jul 13

Will Météo-France issue a vigilance ROUGE alert for Paris on July 12, 2026?Yes

The crowd was 85% sure, and they nailed it.

Jul 12

Will Météo-France issue a vigilance ROUGE alert for any department on July 9, 2026?No

The crowd was 62% sure, and they nailed it.

Jul 10

Will Météo-France issue a vigilance ROUGE alert for Paris on July 8, 2026?No

The crowd was 83% sure, and they nailed it.

Jul 8

Will Météo-France issue a vigilance ROUGE alert for any département on July 7, 2026?No

The crowd was 67% sure, and they got it wrong.

Jul 7

Will Météo-France issue a vigilance ROUGE alert for at least one department on July 5, 2026?No

The crowd was 52% sure, and they got it wrong.

Jul 5

Will Météo‑France issue an official heatwave (canicule) alert for any French department during June 15–21, 2026?Yes

The crowd was 62% sure, and they nailed it.

Jun 22

Will France record a temperature of at least 38 °C anywhere before June 1, 2026?No

The crowd was 56% sure, and they nailed it.

Jun 3

Will France extend the yellow heatwave alert beyond May 29, 2026?Yes

The crowd was 54% sure, and they got it wrong.

May 29

Crowd track record

Open questions

How it turned out

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