Will tropical cyclone Karina reach Saffir‑Simpson Category 4 intensity?

73%
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35%
Stable · last 24h
Market closed. Awaiting resolution.
Results Jan 16YES if by December 31, 2027 France (via public labs or funded companies) demonstrates a working universal quantum computing prototype (able to run a non‑trivial quantum algorithm); NO otherwise.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Jan 15, 2027, and the market is expected to resolve on Jan 16, 2027. The outcome will be settled against streetinsider.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 35%, based on 8 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledNo comments yet. Start the conversation!

73%
+38% last 24h

21%
Stable · last 24h

69%
Stable · last 24h

68%
-1% last 24h

75%
Stable · last 24h

59%
Stable · last 24h
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