heatwave
Live prediction markets about heatwave. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
89%
crowd accuracy
25/28
right calls
Biggest miss
The crowd was 76% sure, and they got it wrong.
Open questions
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See open questionsHow it turned out28
- Will TF1info publish at least one 'Météo' article containing the word 'canicule'Yes
The crowd was 90% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 19 - Will any metropolitan French department, coastal zone, or the 'FRANCE' roll‑up be on Météo‑France Vigilance orange or red for a heatwave on September 8?No
The crowd was 76% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 9 - Will any metropolitan French département, coastal vigilance zone, or the national alert be orange or red for heatwave (canicule) on September 7?Yes
The crowd was 92% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 8 - Will any metropolitan French department, coastal vigilance zone, or the national map be orange or red for heatwave on September 5?Yes
The crowd was 93% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 6 - Will any area in Spain be under an 'aviso naranja' or 'aviso rojo' (orange or red alert) for extreme high temperatures on 2 September?Yes
The crowd was 66% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 3 - Will any mainland French département be 'orange' (high alert) or 'rouge' (very high alert) for heatwave on 29 August?No
The crowd was 52% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 30 - Will the heat episode that began on July 28 reach at least 22 consecutive days of 'strong heat'?Yes
The crowd was 52% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 20 - Will any metropolitan French département be on Météo‑France 'orange' or 'red' for heatwave on August 19?No
The crowd was 81% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 20 - Will any inhabited area in Spain be ordered to evacuate because of wildfires or fire risk linked to the fourth heatwave?Yes
The crowd was 65% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 19 - Was Spain's national daily temperature record broken during the fourth heatwave?No
The crowd was 78% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 19