Will Japan have an earthquake of magnitude 5.1 or greater?

32%
Stable · last 24h

31%
Stable · last 24h
Market closed. Awaiting resolution.
Results Jan 1YES if a public scientific demonstration in France (e.g., at a conference, fair, or outreach event) shows these 4D‑printed microrobots moving under magnetic field and heating under IR light by December 31, 2026. NO otherwise.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Dec 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Jan 1, 2027. The outcome will be settled against iramis.cea.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 31%, based on 6 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledNo comments yet. Start the conversation!

32%
Stable · last 24h
15%
Stable · last 24h

37%
Stable · last 24h

61%
Stable · last 24h

77%
+5% last 24h

52%
-6% last 24h
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