📍Politics·NationalCloses Nov 30 · Results Dec 1
Will a bill be filed to ban or penalize deliberate lies in politics?
18%
-1% last 24h
3459 bets · 80.5K credits112
Details →United States Senate
Live prediction markets about United States Senate. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
65%
crowd accuracy
44/68
right calls
19
open questions
Biggest miss
Will the bill on critical‑infrastructure resilience and stronger cybersecurity be adopted in a plenary session?
NoThe crowd was 81% sure, and they got it wrong.
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Will a bill be filed to ban or penalize deliberate lies in politics?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 7
18%
Yes
Open questions19
📍Politics·NationalCloses Nov 3 · Results Nov 4
Will John Sununu win New Hampshire's U.S. Senate election?
27%
Stable · last 24h
412 bets · 6.1K credits1
Details →📍Politics·NationalCloses Nov 3 · Results Nov 11
Will John Sununu get more votes than Chris Pappas in the New Hampshire U.S. Senate election on November 3?
26%
Stable · last 24h
410 bets · 7K credits1
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📍Politics·NationalCloses Nov 4
Will Susan Collins be re-elected to the U.S. Senate from Maine?
40%
Stable · last 24h
406 bets · 7.5K credits1
Details →📍Politics·NationalCloses Nov 3 · Results Nov 4
Will James Talarico be elected to the U.S. Senate from Texas on Nov 3, 2026?
40%
Stable · last 24h
404 bets · 8.2K credits1
Details →- Will Mexico's federal environmental law (LGEPA) be amended or replaced?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 1403 predictions61%Yes
- Will the comprehensive bill on sexist and sexual violence be adopted in first reading by the French Senate?Closes Dec 31 · Results Feb 1338 predictions84%Yes
- Will the 'casseurs‑payeurs' bill be placed on the Senate plenary agenda or begin its first reading?Closes Oct 27 · Results Oct 28288 predictions82%Yes
- Will at least one of La France Insoumise's 12 niche proposals be debated in the National Assembly plenary on 29 October?Closes Oct 28 · Results Oct 30261 predictions86%Yes
- Will the bill to strengthen protection of the presidential election be adopted?Closes Nov 30 · Results Dec 1185 predictions78%Yes
- Will the Assemblée nationale's commission d'enquête hold its first public hearing?Closes Nov 15 · Results Nov 16122 predictions83%Yes
- Will José Beaurain no longer be a member of the Rassemblement National parliamentary group?Closes Nov 170 predictions28%Yes
How it turned out68
- Will Sherrod Brown lead Jon Husted in the Ohio Senate poll on October 22?Yes
The crowd was 81% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 23 - Will a parliamentary commission of inquiry be created to investigate the October 17 demonstrations' violence, violent groups' methods, and the crowd‑control strategy?Yes
The crowd was 68% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 21 - Will Article 49(3) be used to force-passage of the revenue ('partie "recettes"') section of the 2027 finance bill?No
The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 21 - Will the National Assembly vote to adopt the revenue section of the government's 2027 draft finance bill?No
The crowd was 71% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 21 - Will Dr. Nicole Saphier become U.S. Surgeon General?No
The crowd was 59% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 21 - Will the plenary debate on the 2027 state budget's revenues section finish?No
The crowd was 72% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 20 - Will the U.S. Senate pass the bipartisan permitting reform bill to speed energy project approvals?No
The crowd was 62% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 17 - Will Susan Collins lead Troy Jackson in Maine's Senate poll on Oct 16?No
The crowd was 65% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 17 - Will the comprehensive bill to combat sexist and sexual violence be adopted in a plenary vote?Yes
The crowd was 86% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 16 - Will José Beaurain be suspended or expelled from the Rassemblement National party or the RN parliamentary group?No
The crowd was 65% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 16