Will France’s economy avoid a technical recession (two consecutive quarters of negative GDP) by end of Q3 2026?

🤖 Context

YES if INSEE reports GDP growth ≥ 0% in both Q2 2026 and Q3 2026; NO if either quarter shows GDP contraction (< 0%).

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Nov 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lemonde.fr, m.investing.com, economic-research.bnpparibas.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 49%, based on 12 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

49%

Predictions made

12

Credits staked

304

Comments

0

Opened

May 27, 2026

Closes

Nov 1, 2026

Expected resolution

Nov 2, 2026

Resolution source

lemonde.fr, m.investing.com, economic-research.bnpparibas.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Nov 1, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Nov 2, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 49% and NO 51%, based on 12 predictions and 304 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against lemonde.fr, m.investing.com, economic-research.bnpparibas.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will France’s economy avoid a technical recession (two consecutive quarters of negative GDP) by end of Q3 2026?” real-money betting?

No. “Will France’s economy avoid a technical recession (two consecutive quarters of negative GDP) by end of Q3 2026?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.