CultureOpened Jul 23 · Results Jul 31

Will a book not currently in the top 5 enter France's top 5 bestsellers on or after Thursday, July 30, 2026?

59%

Stable · last 24h

📊 187 bettors💎 4.4K at stake

ResolvedYes

Resolved: Yes

Results Jul 31

🤖 Context

YES if the Edistat, meilleures ventes de livres en France weekly ranking published on or after Thursday, July 30, 2026 lists at least one title in ranks 1–5 whose title-and-author combination is not exactly equal to any of the five current combinations. The five current combinations are "Le diner", Mcfadden, freida and xaragai, karine, "La prof", Mcfadden, freida and forestier, karine, "Passeport, cahier de vacances, du ce1 au ce2", Bessières, catherine and jenner, bernard and knowles, xavier, "Passeport, du cm2 a la 6e", Blandino, guy and bonnerat, gérard and jenner, bernard and knowles, xavier and leroy-jouenne, charlotte and masclet, eliane, and "Passeport, cahier de vacances, du cp au ce1", Presse, nicole and knowles, xavier and jenner, bernard and bourgouint, philippe. Otherwise NO. If Edistat fails to publish a weekly ranking on or after Thursday, July 30, 2026 the market resolves NO.

How markets are built and settled

How this market resolved

Yes

59%

Final crowd probability

The crowd was 59% sure, and they nailed it.

Why: Extracted condition: On or after 2026-07-30, the Edistat weekly ranking must list at least one title in numeric ranks 1–5 whose title-and-author combination is not equal to any of the five specified title/author combinations. Target window: ranking shown on or after 2026-07-30. Observations (from supplied Edistat data): Rank 1 = "Le diner" — authors "Mcfadden, freida ; xaragai, karine" (matches specified combo #1). Rank 2 = "La prof" — authors "Mcfadden, freida ; forestier, karine" (matches specified combo #2). Rank 3 = "Les heures fragiles" — authors "Grimaldi, virginie" (NOT equal to any of the five listed combos). Rank 4 = "Quelqu'un d'autre" — authors "Musso, guillaume" (NOT equal to any of the five listed combos). Rank 5 = "Passeport ; cahier de vacances ; du ce1 au ce2" — authors "Bessières, catherine ; jenner, bernard ; knowles, xavier" (matches specified combo #3). Comparison: At least one top-5 entry (ranks 3 and 4) has a title+author combination not equal to any of the five listed combinations, satisfying the YES condition. Edistat did publish a weekly ranking (the supplied snapshot), so the fallback (Edistat failing to publish) does not apply.

Source: edistat.com