France
Live prediction markets about France. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
75%
crowd accuracy
293/393
right calls
48
open questions
Biggest miss
Will Bigflo & Oli’s €100,000 ZEvent donation be publicly listed as received?
NoThe crowd was 95% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will a bill be filed to ban or penalize deliberate lies in politics?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 8
15%
Yes
Open questions48
- Will France’s government complete the migration of its National Health platform to a sovereign cloud by end of 2026?Results Jan 1547 predictions65%Yes
- Will France complete the migration of at least 2 million government workstations to Linux by end of 2026?Results Jan 119 predictions65%Yes
- Will France’s year‑long 200th anniversary of photography launch in autumn 2026 with an exhibition at the Grand Palais?Results Jan 114 predictions55%Yes
- Will France’s economy avoid a technical recession (two consecutive quarters of negative GDP) by end of Q3 2026?Results Nov 212 predictions49%Yes
- Will France’s 2027 budget bill include fiscal reform enabling agent‑AI stablecoin payments by the end of 2026?Results Jan 112 predictions40%Yes
- Will France’s Lucy photonic quantum computer perform its first public demonstration by end of 2026?Results Jan 19 predictions39%Yes
- Will France’s Health Data Hub be fully migrated off Microsoft Azure by end of 2026?Results Jan 18 predictions48%Yes
- Will France’s new €1 billion quantum computing investment result in a working universal quantum prototype by end of 2027?Results Jan 168 predictions35%Yes
- Will AMD-powered 'Alice Recoque' supercomputer enter operation in France before end of 2026?Results Jan 167 predictions54%Yes
- Will France maintain its 2026 GDP growth forecast at or above 0.8% in the autumn macroeconomic update?Results Dec 16 predictions55%Yes
- Will microrobots magnéto‑plasmoniques printed in 4D be demonstrated functioning under infrared and magnetic control in a public scientific demonstration in France by end of 2026?Results Jan 16 predictions31%Yes
- Will the national “jumeau numérique” (JUNN) platform be operational and publicly accessible by the end of 2026?Results Dec 315 predictions42%Yes
How it turned out393
- Will any part of metropolitan France be under orange or red heatwave alert on September 3?No
The crowd was 86% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 4 - Will France google Mimie Mathy more than Jean-Jacques Goldman on September 3?Yes
The crowd was 82% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 4 - Will 'Atelier creatif ; coloriages mysteres ; winx club' be in the top 5 on September 3?No
The crowd was 51% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 3 - Will 'Le diner' by Freida Mcfadden and Karine Xaragai be #1 on Edistat on September 3?Yes
The crowd was 68% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 3 - Will metropolitan France have at least four separate heatwave episodes in 2026?No
The crowd was 55% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 3 - Will a tornado be reported in any French department?No
The crowd was 72% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 3 - Will any official Météo‑France station in metropolitan France record an instantaneous wind gust of at least 100.0 km/h?Yes
The crowd was 82% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 3 - Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be France's weekly box-office #1 by admissions?Yes
The crowd was 95% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 3 - Will W9 list an 'On connaît la chanson' episode as a Céline Dion special on September 1?Yes
The crowd was 91% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 1 - Will at least 40 French departments be under official water-use restrictions on September 1?Yes
The crowd was 58% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 1