Will at least 40 French departments be under official water-use restrictions on September 1?

🤖 Context

YES if, at 12:00 Central European Summer Time (CEST) on September 1, 2026, 40 or more French departments each have at least one legally binding water‑use restriction in force that limits non‑priority uses such as garden watering, car washing, or non‑essential agricultural or industrial withdrawals. Resolution will rely on the national Propluvia restrictions database and the relevant departmental préfecture websites, with corroborating reports from established French news outlets acceptable. Voluntary notices or non‑binding "vigilance" warnings do not count, and an arrêté that applies to any commune within a department counts for that department.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against franceinfo.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 29%, based on 61 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

29%

Predictions made

61

Credits staked

1,447

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 23, 2026

Closes

Aug 31, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 1, 2026

Resolution source

franceinfo.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 31, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 1, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 29% and NO 71%, based on 61 predictions and 1.4K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against franceinfo.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will at least 40 French departments be under official water-use restrictions on September 1?” real-money betting?

No. “Will at least 40 French departments be under official water-use restrictions on September 1?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.