Will any part of metropolitan France be under orange or red heatwave alert on September 3?

🤖 Context

YES if Météo‑France's official Vigilance archived map for September 3, 2026 shows, at any time on that day, at least one metropolitan department, at least one coastal vigilance zone covering metropolitan territory, or the national 'FRANCE' roll‑up at orange (3) or red (4) for Canicule (heatwave). Overseas departments/territories do not count. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 2, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 4, 2026. The outcome will be settled against vigilance.meteofrance.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 15%, based on 168 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

15%

Predictions made

168

Credits staked

5,301

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 2, 2026

Closes

Sep 2, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 4, 2026

Resolution source

vigilance.meteofrance.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 2, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 4, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 15% and NO 85%, based on 168 predictions and 5.3K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against vigilance.meteofrance.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any part of metropolitan France be under orange or red heatwave alert on September 3?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any part of metropolitan France be under orange or red heatwave alert on September 3?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.