🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 25 · Results Oct 26
Will EU leaders publicly announce they agreed to adopt the planned 22nd sanctions package against Russia?
32%
-1% last 24h
934 bets · 32.9K credits11
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PoliticsOpened Oct 7 · Results Oct 20
Will Dr. Nicole Saphier become U.S. Surgeon General?
59%
Stable · last 24h
📊 420 bettors💎 8.4K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Oct 20🤖 Context
YES if, after 00:00:44 UTC on October 7, 2026, the United States Senate records and publicly reports that it has confirmed Dr. Nicole Saphier’s nomination to be U.S. Surgeon General. Otherwise NO. • Counts only if the confirmation appears as a Senate roll-call vote on the Senate's official record or as an on-the-record floor announcement of a voice vote reported as "confirmed". • A formal withdrawal of the nomination by the White House or by the nominee before any Senate confirmation vote resolves NO. • Source: United States Senate or two or more independent authoritative news organizations.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No59%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 59% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: NO The United States Senate did not confirm Dr. Nicole Saphier's nomination for the position of Surgeon General between October 7 and October 20, 2026. Although the Senate Health Committee (HELP Committee) approved and forwarded her nomination to the full Senate on September 30, 2026, the Senate suspended its sessions before the November midterm elections, postponing the final confirmation vote to a later date.
Source: thehill.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 59%
- Predictions made
- 420
- Credits staked
- 8,439
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Oct 7, 2026
- Closes
- Oct 12, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 21, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- thehill.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 50 💎
Given the upcoming Senate timeline and the current political climate, I doubt Saphier will get confirmed. There's a lot of division right now, making this a tough sell.
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