Will a public protest or march take place in Paris on October 31?

95%
Stable · last 24h

28%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, on or before 12:00 on November 1, 2026, the Assemblée nationale's official listing of deputies by parliamentary group or an official statement from the Rassemblement National parliamentary group or the RN party shows José Beaurain is no longer listed as a member of the RN parliamentary group (for example because he is listed under a different group or as non-attached). Otherwise NO. If he is suspended by the RN party but remains listed on the Assemblée nationale as a member of the RN parliamentary group, that counts as NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against franceinfo.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 28%, based on 75 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the upcoming deadline and the current political climate, it's unlikely José Beaurain will be out of the RN group by November 1. He remains firmly within their ranks for now.

95%
Stable · last 24h

74%
Stable · last 24h

94%
Stable · last 24h

34%
+21% last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h

65%
Stable · last 24h
Cookies on Clutch
We use cookies to measure how Clutch is used and to show ads. Nothing is tracked until you choose. Privacy Policy