Will a humanitarian ceasefire between Ukrainian and Russian forces begin on October 27?

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YES if, no later than October 27, 2026, the French Senate publicly places the 'casseurs‑payeurs' bill on its plenary agenda or opens its formal first reading in a public Senate session. Otherwise NO. • Committee scheduling or internal preparatory meetings that do not place the bill on the plenary agenda or start a plenary reading do not count. • Anonymous leaks or social media rumours alone do not qualify. • Source: French Senate, AFP, Le Monde, Franceinfo.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 27, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 28, 2026. The outcome will be settled against franceinfo.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 83%, based on 348 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settled
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