Will new U.S. sanctions explicitly linked to the Houthi attacks on Saudi facilities be announced?

44%
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86%
Stable · last 24h
YES if the Assemblée nationale's official plenary vote records show the 'projet de loi intégrale contre les violences sexistes et sexuelles' (under that title or an expressly successor text identified as that bill) was adopted in a plenary vote no later than October 15, 2026. Resolution sources include the Assemblée nationale's official session minutes or vote register, the Journal officiel, or major national outlets (e.g. AFP, Franceinfo) that cite those primary records. A committee approval only, without plenary adoption, resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 14, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against franceinfo.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 86%, based on 67 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the growing support for addressing gender-based violence, it seems likely this bill will pass in plenary. The timeline allows for advocacy to strengthen its adoption before mid-October.

44%
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55%
Stable · last 24h

25%
Stable · last 24h

32%
+1% last 24h

67%
-2% last 24h

30%
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