Will the National Assembly vote to adopt the revenue section of the government's 2027 draft finance bill?

🤖 Context

YES if, between 12:00:54 UTC on October 12, 2026 and no later than October 20, 2026, the National Assembly in plenary holds one or more recorded votes and the final recorded vote adopts the revenue section of the government's 2027 draft finance bill. Otherwise NO. • Only recorded (scrutin public) votes in plenary count. • The final recorded vote must show a majority 'for' and be recorded as "adopted" in the official vote table or plenary minutes. • If no recorded vote on the revenue section occurs in that window, the market resolves NO. • Source: Official Assemblée nationale vote records or plenary minutes. Credible reporting by two or more independent national news outlets is also sufficient.

Key facts

Crowd probability

71%

Predictions made

178

Credits staked

6,263

Comments

3

Opened

Oct 12, 2026

Closes

Oct 12, 2026

Resolved

Oct 21, 2026

Outcome

No

Resolution source

lcp.fr