Will Mexico's federal environmental law (LGEPA) be amended or replaced?

🤖 Context

YES if the Diario Oficial de la Federación publishes, no later than December 31, 2026, the text of an enacted federal law that explicitly amends or replaces the Ley General del Equilibrio Ecológico y la Protección al Ambiente (LGEPA). The Diario Oficial de la Federación is the primary source, with possible corroboration from Cámara de Diputados/Senado voting records or the Gaceta Parlamentaria. If Congress approves a law with environmental provisions that does not amend or substitute the LGEPA itself, resolve NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Dec 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Jan 1, 2027. The outcome will be settled against politica.expansion.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 61%, based on 403 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

61%

Predictions made

403

Credits staked

7,061

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 18, 2026

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Expected resolution

Jan 1, 2027

Resolution source

politica.expansion.mx

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Dec 31, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Jan 1, 2027.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 61% and NO 39%, based on 403 predictions and 7.1K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against politica.expansion.mx once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Mexico's federal environmental law (LGEPA) be amended or replaced?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Mexico's federal environmental law (LGEPA) be amended or replaced?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.