📍Politics·NationalCloses Oct 30 · Results Nov 1
Will Jordan Bardella resign as an MEP?
6%
Stable · last 24h
1230 bets · 36.6K credits20
Details →Rassemblement National
Live prediction markets about Rassemblement National. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
81%
crowd accuracy
13/16
right calls
9
open questions
Biggest miss
Will at least one Rassemblement national text from its niche parliamentary day be adopted on October 8?
NoThe crowd was 72% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will Jordan Bardella resign as an MEP?
The crowd's YES odds since Oct 3
6%
Yes
Open questions9
📍Politics·NationalCloses Oct 31 · Results Nov 1
Will Marine Le Pen publicly accept Éric Ciotti’s 'pacte d'alliance' with the Union des droites for the 2027 presidential campaign?
36%
-1% last 24h
861 bets · 17.4K credits7
Details →📍Politics·NationalCloses Nov 1
Will Jordan Bardella still be publicly listed as president of the Rassemblement National?
88%
Stable · last 24h
403 bets · 13.7K credits4
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📍Politics·NationalCloses Nov 30 · Results Dec 1
Will a formal hearing be scheduled and publicly announced to examine RN and UDR's challenge to remove Richard Ferrand?
27%
Stable · last 24h
351 bets · 15.2K credits4
Details →📍Politics·NationalCloses Dec 31
Will Édouard Philippe publicly commit to take part in a right/centre primary for France's 2027 presidential election?
44%
Stable · last 24h
285 bets · 9.6K credits2
Details →- Will Mediapart file a criminal complaint with a French prosecutor over its expulsion from the RN congress in Orléans?Closes Nov 15 · Results Nov 16153 predictions36%Yes
- Will José Beaurain no longer be a member of the Rassemblement National parliamentary group?Closes Nov 173 predictions28%Yes
- Will the RN group file or publicly back a motion of censure against the government over the 2027 budget?Results Dec 1209 predictions63%Yes
- Will the Rassemblement National file or publicly support a motion of censure in the Assemblée nationale?Results Jan 149 predictions66%Yes
How it turned out16
- Will Christophe Barthès be publicly asked to resign or lose RN support?No
The crowd was 82% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 2 - Will the Rassemblement national hold at least 10 seats in the French Sénat on September 27?Yes
The crowd was 82% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 30 - Will Rassemblement National form an official parliamentary group in the French Senate?Yes
The crowd was 76% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 27 - Will at least one Rassemblement National (RN) candidate be elected to the French Senate on September 27, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 95% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 27 - Will Marine Le Pen's 'major air conditioning plan' be implemented by July 31, 2026?No
The crowd was 93% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 1 - Will Jordan Bardella be confirmed as Rassemblement National’s presidential candidate on July 7, 2026?No
The crowd was 50% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 10