Will the Rassemblement national hold at least 10 seats in the French Sénat on September 27?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than 12:00 on 28 September 2026 (UTC+2), ten or more people elected in the senatorial elections of 27 September 2026 are recorded as members of or officially sitting with the Rassemblement national group in the Sénat. This may be established from the Sénat's published post-election membership list or from credible reporting by two or more independent national news outlets such as AFP, Le Monde, or Reuters. If media reports conflict with the Sénat's published membership list, the Sénat list is the tiebreaker.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 27, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 28, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lcp.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 86%, based on 75 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

86%

Predictions made

75

Credits staked

2,857

Comments

3

Opened

Sep 15, 2026

Closes

Sep 27, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 28, 2026

Resolution source

lcp.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 27, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 28, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 86% and NO 14%, based on 75 predictions and 2.9K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against lcp.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the Rassemblement national hold at least 10 seats in the French Sénat on September 27?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the Rassemblement national hold at least 10 seats in the French Sénat on September 27?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.