Will Mediapart file a criminal complaint with a French prosecutor over its expulsion from the RN congress in Orléans?

🤖 Context

YES if Mediapart files an on‑record formal criminal complaint with any French public prosecutor about its removal, expulsion, or any violence suffered at the RN congress in Orléans no later than November 15, 2026. Otherwise NO. • The filing must be a formal dépôt de plainte / plainte pénale and be reported as filed by at least two independent authoritative news outlets (for example AFP and Le Monde). • A public statement by Mediapart or a prosecutor's confirmation reported by two outlets counts. Mere threats, intentions, or uncorroborated social‑media posts do not count. • Source: reports from at least two independent authoritative news outlets (for example AFP and Le Monde).

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Nov 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against franceinfo.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 38%, based on 283 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

38%

Predictions made

283

Credits staked

7,987

Comments

4

Opened

Oct 26, 2026

Closes

Nov 15, 2026

Expected resolution

Nov 16, 2026

Resolution source

franceinfo.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Nov 15, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Nov 16, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 38% and NO 62%, based on 283 predictions and 8K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against franceinfo.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Mediapart file a criminal complaint with a French prosecutor over its expulsion from the RN congress in Orléans?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Mediapart file a criminal complaint with a French prosecutor over its expulsion from the RN congress in Orléans?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.