🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 25 · Results Oct 26
Will EU leaders publicly announce they agreed to adopt the planned 22nd sanctions package against Russia?
32%
-1% last 24h
987 bets · 34.3K credits13
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PoliticsOpened Sep 25 · Results Sep 27
Will at least one Rassemblement National (RN) candidate be elected to the French Senate on September 27, 2026?
95%
Stable · last 24h
📊 235 bettors💎 10K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 27🤖 Context
The market required that the officially published results for the senatorial elections on September 27, 2026 show at least one person elected whose party at the time of the vote was recorded as Rassemblement National (RN). Contemporary news reports from the count date show RN and its allies won 14 seats, that RN exceeded the 10-seat threshold to form a Senate group, and they name RN winners such as Marie-Pierre Callet, Fabien Bravi and Edwige Diaz on 27 September 2026. Those facts confirm that at least one RN‑affiliated candidate was elected on 27 September 2026, so this market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes95%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 95% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent news outlets in the supplied evidence report that Rassemblement National (RN) candidates won seats in the French Senate elections held on 27 September 2026. Franceinfo states the RN exceeded the 10‑seat threshold to form a Senate group; France24 reports the RN and its allies secured 14 seats; local outlets (Made in Marseille, Actu.fr) name RN winners in specific departments (e.g. Marie‑Pierre Callet, Fabien Bravi, Edwige Diaz). These contemporaneous, independent reports corroborate that at least one RN‑affiliated candidate was elected on 2026-09-27.
Source: franceinfo.frKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 95%
- Predictions made
- 235
- Credits staked
- 10,007
- Comments
- 2
- Opened
- Sep 25, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 27, 2026
- Resolved
- Sep 27, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- franceinfo.fr, internazionale.it, france24.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 2 comments
- 👽
We hope
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet Yes· 50 💎
With the current political landscape, it's likely that at least one RN candidate will secure a seat in the upcoming senatorial elections. They have strong support in key regions.
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