Will Marine Le Pen publicly accept Éric Ciotti’s 'pacte d'alliance' with the Union des droites for the 2027 presidential campaign?

🤖 Context

Resolves YES if, no later than October 31, 2026, Marine Le Pen or the Rassemblement National publishes a clear, unambiguous public acceptance that RN will enter a formal electoral alliance with Éric Ciotti’s Union des droites for the 2027 presidential campaign. Qualifying evidence includes an RN press release, a signed public pact, or a joint announcement between RN and Éric Ciotti/UDR. Resolves NO if only Éric Ciotti claims an agreement, if Le Pen issues only a non‑committal response (for example 'I’ll consider it' or 'we are discussing'), or if no formal joint announcement or press release appears by the deadline. The market resolves according to official Rassemblement National or Union des droites communications.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against franceinfo.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 36%, based on 49 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

36%

Predictions made

49

Credits staked

1,210

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 5, 2026

Closes

Oct 31, 2026

Expected resolution

Nov 1, 2026

Resolution source

franceinfo.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 31, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Nov 1, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 36% and NO 64%, based on 49 predictions and 1.2K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against franceinfo.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Marine Le Pen publicly accept Éric Ciotti’s 'pacte d'alliance' with the Union des droites for the 2027 presidential campaign?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Marine Le Pen publicly accept Éric Ciotti’s 'pacte d'alliance' with the Union des droites for the 2027 presidential campaign?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.