📍Politics·NationalCloses Oct 31 · Results Nov 1
Will Jordan Bardella file a criminal defamation complaint naming Mediapart?
82%
Stable · last 24h
2605 bets · 65.5K credits68
Details →Jordan Bardella
Live prediction markets about Jordan Bardella. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
77%
crowd accuracy
10/13
right calls
3
open questions
Biggest miss
Will Jordan Bardella and Maria Carolina de Bourbon des Deux‑Siciles be seen together again publicly by June 12, 2026?
YesThe crowd was 63% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will Jordan Bardella file a criminal defamation complaint naming Mediapart?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 29
82%
Yes
Open questions3
📍Politics·NationalCloses Oct 30 · Results Nov 1
Will Jordan Bardella resign as an MEP?
6%
Stable · last 24h
1148 bets · 34.5K credits19
Details →📍Politics·NationalCloses Nov 1
Will Jordan Bardella still be publicly listed as president of the Rassemblement National?
87%
Stable · last 24h
392 bets · 13.4K credits4
Details →Get the app
The full experience is on mobile
+100💎
Install and create your account to win
Get more credits and unlock everything.
Install the app
How it turned out13
- Will Jordan Bardella or his lawyers file a defamation complaint over Le Canard enchaîné saying he deleted Facebook data?No
The crowd was 63% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 23 - Will Jordan Bardella or his lawyers file a criminal complaint alleging 'faux et usage de faux' (forgery and use of forged documents)?No
The crowd was 54% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 21 - Will Marine Le Pen or the Rassemblement National file a censure motion over the Bardella revelations?No
The crowd was 82% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 16 - Will a French judicial authority open a formal judicial investigation into Jordan Bardella over writings attributed to him?No
The crowd was 74% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 15 - Will new technical evidence link Jordan Bardella's official X account to the Messenger conversations?No
The crowd was 54% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 15 - Will Mediapart publish new articles presenting authenticated Messenger/Facebook messages attributed to Jordan Bardella?Yes
The crowd was 66% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 12 - Will Marine Le Pen publicly withdraw her 'total' confidence in Jordan Bardella?No
The crowd was 92% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 11 - Will Jordan Bardella be confirmed as Rassemblement National’s presidential candidate on July 7, 2026?No
The crowd was 50% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 10 - Will Jordan Bardella be the most popular French presidential candidate in polls by June 30, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 63% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 1 - Will Jordan Bardella’s “cote d’avenir” exceed 47 % in the next June Verian–Le Figaro poll?Yes
The crowd was 66% sure, and they nailed it.
Jun 30