🔬ScienceResults Jan 1
Will NASA’s Shock Detectives citizen‑science project receive at least 50,000 unique contributions by December 31, 2026?
56%
Stable · last 24h
2003 bets · 35.7K credits0
Details →NASA
Live prediction markets about NASA. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
80%
crowd accuracy
36/45
right calls
14
open questions
Biggest miss
Will the Falcon 9 first stage used on CRS-35 be recovered after the October 13 launch?
YesThe crowd was 78% sure, and they got it wrong.
Open questions14
🔬ScienceResults Jan 1
Will NASA conduct at least one successful uncrewed lunar lander mission before the end of 2026?
67%
Stable · last 24h
2003 bets · 35.8K credits0
Details →🔬ScienceResults Oct 2
Will NASA open competition for a new JPL operator by October 1, 2028?
51%
Stable · last 24h
2003 bets · 35.2K credits0
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🔬ScienceResults Dec 31
Will NASA’s Psyche mission detect a metal-rich asteroid during its current survey phase by end of 2026?
40%
Stable · last 24h
2002 bets · 37.7K credits0
Details →🔬ScienceResults Jan 1
Will NASA's STORIE mission successfully return the first full images of Earth's ring current from the ISS by December 31 , 2026?
44%
Stable · last 24h
2002 bets · 35.2K credits0
Details →- Will SpaceX launch Crew-13 (Crew Dragon 'Grace') to the ISS from SLC-40?Results Nov 1112 predictions72%Yes
- Will Crew-13's Crew Dragon 'Grace' launch to the ISS?Results Nov 197 predictions79%Yes
- Will NASA award the second uncrewed lunar mission contract to Blue Origin by December 31, 2026?Results Jan 10 predictions41%Yes
- Will NASA’s High‑Performance Spaceflight Computing (HPSC) processor complete its spaceflight qualification tests by December 31, 2026?Results Jan 10 predictions43%Yes
- Will Glowbug‑2 aboard the ISS detect at least one gamma‑ray burst by end of 2026?Results Jan 10 predictions55%Yes
- Will NASA’s Link robotic mission successfully rendezvous with and boost the Swift Observatory to a higher orbit by December 31, 2026?Results Jan 10 predictions56%Yes
- Will NASA’s LOXSAT mission successfully demonstrate cryogenic propellant transfer in orbit by end of 2026?Results Jan 20 predictions43%Yes
How it turned out45
- Will SpaceX Cargo Dragon C211 dock at the Harmony module's zenith port on October 15?Yes
The crowd was 65% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 16 - Will Crew‑13's Crew Dragon 'Grace' launch from SLC‑40 and dock at the ISS?Yes
The crowd was 85% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 16 - Will the Falcon 9 first stage used on CRS-35 be recovered after the October 13 launch?Yes
The crowd was 78% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 14 - Will the SpaceX Falcon 9 for CRS‑35 lift off on October 13?Yes
The crowd was 88% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 14 - Will Sophie Adenot return to Earth and land or splash down?Yes
The crowd was 93% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 11 - Will NASA’s INCUS mission complete assembly and testing of its third SmallSat by September 30 2026?No
The crowd was 69% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 9 - Will NASA’s PREFIRE CubeSats still be operational at the end of September 2026?Yes
The crowd was 76% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 9 - If Crew-13 lifts off on October 1, will it dock with the ISS within 72 hours?Yes
The crowd was 84% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 5 - Will SpaceX launch NASA's Crew‑13 Crew Dragon Grace, tail number C‑213, from SLC‑40 at Cape Canaveral on October 1?Yes
The crowd was 81% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 3 - Will a SpaceX Falcon 9 launch Crew Dragon 'Grace' into Earth orbit on October 1?Yes
The crowd was 75% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 2