Will NASA conduct at least one successful uncrewed lunar lander mission before the end of 2026?

🤖 Context

YES if NASA completes at least one uncrewed lunar lander mission that achieves a confirmed soft landing on the Moon before December 31, 2026, as reported by NASA or a trusted news outlet. NO if no such landing occurs successfully by that date.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Dec 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Jan 1, 2027. The outcome will be settled against livescience.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 67%, based on 2003 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

67%

Predictions made

2,003

Credits staked

35,829

Comments

0

Opened

Jun 2, 2026

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Expected resolution

Jan 1, 2027

Resolution source

livescience.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Dec 31, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Jan 1, 2027.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 67% and NO 33%, based on 2003 predictions and 35.8K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against livescience.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will NASA conduct at least one successful uncrewed lunar lander mission before the end of 2026?” real-money betting?

No. “Will NASA conduct at least one successful uncrewed lunar lander mission before the end of 2026?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.