Will NASA’s INCUS mission complete assembly and testing of its third SmallSat by September 30 2026?

🤖 Context

YES if NASA completes assembly and testing of the third INCUS SmallSat by September 30 2026, as confirmed by an official NASA or JPL announcement. NO otherwise.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 29, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 30, 2026. The outcome will be settled against jpl.nasa.gov. For now, the crowd puts YES at 69%, based on 2006 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

69%

Predictions made

2,006

Credits staked

34,787

Comments

0

Opened

Jun 7, 2026

Closes

Sep 29, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 30, 2026

Resolution source

jpl.nasa.gov

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 29, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 30, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 69% and NO 31%, based on 2006 predictions and 34.8K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against jpl.nasa.gov once the outcome is known.

Is “Will NASA’s INCUS mission complete assembly and testing of its third SmallSat by September 30 2026?” real-money betting?

No. “Will NASA’s INCUS mission complete assembly and testing of its third SmallSat by September 30 2026?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.