Will Glowbug‑2 aboard the ISS detect at least one gamma‑ray burst by end of 2026?

🤖 Context

YES if Glowbug‑2, installed on the outside of the International Space Station’s Columbus module on May 15, 2026, records at least one gamma‑ray burst (GRB) before December 31, 2026, as confirmed by U.S. Naval Research Laboratory or relevant NASA/USSF mission data. NO otherwise.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Dec 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Jan 1, 2027. The outcome will be settled against navy.mil. For now, the crowd puts YES at 55%, based on 0 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

55%

Predictions made

0

Credits staked

0

Comments

0

Opened

May 26, 2026

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Expected resolution

Jan 1, 2027

Resolution source

navy.mil

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Dec 31, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Jan 1, 2027.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 55% and NO 45%, based on 0 predictions and 0 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against navy.mil once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Glowbug‑2 aboard the ISS detect at least one gamma‑ray burst by end of 2026?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Glowbug‑2 aboard the ISS detect at least one gamma‑ray burst by end of 2026?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.