Will tropical cyclone Karina reach Saffir‑Simpson Category 4 intensity?

80%
+41% last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h
Market closed. Awaiting resolution.
Results Dec 31YES if NASA officially confirms that the Psyche spacecraft has detected and characterized a metal-rich asteroid during its current survey operations by December 31, 2026; NO otherwise.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Dec 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Dec 31, 2026. The outcome will be settled against science.nasa.gov. For now, the crowd puts YES at 40%, based on 1 prediction.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledNo comments yet. Start the conversation!

80%
+41% last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h

68%
Stable · last 24h

58%
Stable · last 24h

22%
Stable · last 24h

65%
Stable · last 24h
Cookies on Clutch
We use cookies to measure how Clutch is used and to show ads. Nothing is tracked until you choose. Privacy Policy