🌋Science·GeologyCloses Oct 25 · Results Oct 28
Will Indonesia record an earthquake of magnitude 5.4 or greater?
32%
Stable · last 24h
264 bets · 11.1K credits5
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ScienceOpened Jun 5 · Results Sep 30
Will NASA’s PREFIRE CubeSats still be operational at the end of September 2026?
76%
Stable · last 24h
📊 2042 bettors💎 38K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 30🤖 Context
YES if official telemetry or NASA statements confirm at least one of the PREFIRE CubeSats continues sending data through September 30, 2026; NO if by then both have ceased operations or been confirmed non‑functional.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes76%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 76% sure, and they nailed it.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 76%
- Predictions made
- 2,042
- Credits staked
- 37,965
- Comments
- 4
- Opened
- Jun 5, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 30, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 9, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
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