Will tropical cyclone Karina reach Saffir‑Simpson Category 4 intensity?

86%
+20% last 24h

76%
Stable · last 24h
YES if official telemetry or NASA statements confirm at least one of the PREFIRE CubeSats continues sending data through September 30, 2026; NO if by then both have ceased operations or been confirmed non‑functional.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 30, 2026. The outcome will be settled against jpl.nasa.gov. For now, the crowd puts YES at 76%, based on 5 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledNo comments yet. Start the conversation!

86%
+20% last 24h

31%
Stable · last 24h

47%
Stable · last 24h

51%
Stable · last 24h

73%
Stable · last 24h

53%
Stable · last 24h
Cookies on Clutch
We use cookies to measure how Clutch is used and to show ads. Nothing is tracked until you choose. Privacy Policy