Will tropical cyclone Karina reach Saffir‑Simpson Category 4 intensity?

77%
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Market closed. Awaiting resolution.
Results Jan 1YES if the Link spacecraft successfully rendezvous with the Neil Gehrels Swift Observatory and raises its orbit to a stable altitude (as confirmed by NASA press release or official NASA status report) by December 31 2026. NO otherwise.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Dec 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Jan 1, 2027. The outcome will be settled against aerospaceamerica.aiaa.org. For now, the crowd puts YES at 56%, based on 0 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledNo comments yet. Start the conversation!

77%
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56%
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