Earth
Live prediction markets about Earth. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
78%
crowd accuracy
7/9
right calls
Biggest miss
Will ESA’s SMILE spacecraft capture its first X‑ray image of Earth’s magnetosphere by June 30, 2026?
NoThe crowd was 65% sure, and they got it wrong.
Open questions
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See open questionsHow it turned out9
- Will Sophie Adenot return to Earth and land or splash down?Yes
The crowd was 93% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 11 - Will Sophie Adenot return to Earth inside a SpaceX Crew Dragon capsule?No
The crowd was 51% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 2 - Will the SMILE mission begin official science data collection in September 2026?Yes
The crowd was 70% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 2 - Will Sophie Adenot have returned to Earth?No
The crowd was 54% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 1 - Will Sophie Adenot be back on Earth?No
The crowd was 82% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 1 - Will SpaceX’s Starship Flight 14 put any hardware into Earth orbit and have at least one object complete a full orbit on September 22?No
The crowd was 83% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 23 - Will ESA or NASA livestream the August 12, 2026 total solar eclipse globally?Yes
The crowd was 69% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 12 - Will ESA’s SMILE spacecraft successfully transmit its first scientific observations of Earth's magnetosphere by July 31, 2026?No
The crowd was 56% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 2 - Will ESA’s SMILE spacecraft capture its first X‑ray image of Earth’s magnetosphere by June 30, 2026?No
The crowd was 65% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 2