Will any metropolitan French département, coastal vigilance zone, or the national alert be orange or red for heatwave (canicule) on September 7?

🤖 Context

YES if Météo‑France’s official Vigilance map for 7 September 2026 shows at any update that at least one metropolitan département, a coastal vigilance zone, or the national roll‑up is at level orange (3) or rouge (4) for the hazard "canicule" (heatwave). Only the hazard "canicule" counts and the separate wildfire product does not. If Météo‑France’s map is unavailable, authoritative French national news that explicitly states Météo‑France placed any département, coastal zone, or the national roll‑up at orange or rouge for canicule on 7 September will be accepted, otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 6, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 8, 2026. The outcome will be settled against vigilance.meteofrance.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 89%, based on 78 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

89%

Predictions made

78

Credits staked

2,732

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 6, 2026

Closes

Sep 6, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 8, 2026

Resolution source

vigilance.meteofrance.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 6, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 8, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 89% and NO 11%, based on 78 predictions and 2.7K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against vigilance.meteofrance.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any metropolitan French département, coastal vigilance zone, or the national alert be orange or red for heatwave (canicule) on September 7?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any metropolitan French département, coastal vigilance zone, or the national alert be orange or red for heatwave (canicule) on September 7?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.