Will any area in Spain be under an 'aviso naranja' or 'aviso rojo' (orange or red alert) for extreme high temperatures on 2 September?

🤖 Context

YES if AEMET's Meteoalerta 'Avisos' archive for 2 September 2026 shows at least one Spanish area with an 'aviso nivel naranja' or 'aviso nivel rojo' for the hazard "extreme high temperatures (heat)" at any time between 00:00 and 23:59:59 CEST on 2 September 2026. Otherwise NO. Only warnings explicitly for that hazard count, and sub-area or municipal warnings labelled for the same hazard qualify.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 3, 2026. The outcome will be settled against aemet.es. For now, the crowd puts YES at 32%, based on 14 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

32%

Predictions made

14

Credits staked

360

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 1, 2026

Closes

Sep 1, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 3, 2026

Resolution source

aemet.es

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 1, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 3, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 32% and NO 68%, based on 14 predictions and 360 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against aemet.es once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any area in Spain be under an 'aviso naranja' or 'aviso rojo' (orange or red alert) for extreme high temperatures on 2 September?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any area in Spain be under an 'aviso naranja' or 'aviso rojo' (orange or red alert) for extreme high temperatures on 2 September?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.