Was Spain's national daily temperature record broken during the fourth heatwave?

🤖 Context

YES if the Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) publishes an explicit official confirmation no later than August 16, 2026 that Spain's national all-time maximum daily temperature was exceeded on one or more dates from July 29, 2026 through August 16, 2026 inclusive. The confirmation must be an AEMET press release, official bulletin, or a clearly labeled update to AEMET's official records page. If AEMET only reports provisional values, says the data are under investigation, or reports a value equal to (but not greater than) the previous national record, the market resolves NO. Automated checks may use major Spanish outlets (EFE, RTVE, El País) to corroborate AEMET communications.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 18, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 30%, based on 0 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

30%

Predictions made

0

Credits staked

0

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 8, 2026

Closes

Aug 15, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 18, 2026

Resolution source

efe.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 15, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 18, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 30% and NO 70%, based on 0 predictions and 0 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against efe.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Was Spain's national daily temperature record broken during the fourth heatwave?” real-money betting?

No. “Was Spain's national daily temperature record broken during the fourth heatwave?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.