Will any mainland French département be 'orange' (high alert) or 'rouge' (very high alert) for heatwave on 29 August?

🤖 Context

YES if Météo‑France's archived vigilance map for 29 August 2026 shows at least one metropolitan département, a coastal zone, or the national roll‑up at Vigilance level 'orange' or 'rouge' for the heatwave hazard at any time on that day, according to Météo‑France. Only the heatwave hazard counts; the separate 'Météo des forêts' wildfire product does not count. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 28, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 30, 2026. The outcome will be settled against vigilance.meteofrance.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 28%, based on 106 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

28%

Predictions made

106

Credits staked

3,593

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 28, 2026

Closes

Aug 28, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 30, 2026

Resolution source

vigilance.meteofrance.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 28, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 30, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 28% and NO 72%, based on 106 predictions and 3.6K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against vigilance.meteofrance.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any mainland French département be 'orange' (high alert) or 'rouge' (very high alert) for heatwave on 29 August?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any mainland French département be 'orange' (high alert) or 'rouge' (very high alert) for heatwave on 29 August?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.