Will any metropolitan French département be on Météo‑France 'orange' or 'red' for heatwave on August 19?

🤖 Context

YES if Météo‑France’s official Vigilance map for 19 August 2026 shows at least one metropolitan French département, a coastal zone, or the national "FRANCE" roll‑up at level orange (level 3) or rouge (level 4) for Canicule (heatwave) at any time during 19 August 2026. Overseas departments and territories do not count. Only the Canicule hazard qualifies, and department codes shown on the official map count as that department being at the indicated level. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 18, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 20, 2026. The outcome will be settled against vigilance.meteofrance.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 18%, based on 167 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

18%

Predictions made

167

Credits staked

4,639

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 18, 2026

Closes

Aug 18, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 20, 2026

Resolution source

vigilance.meteofrance.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 18, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 20, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 18% and NO 82%, based on 167 predictions and 4.6K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against vigilance.meteofrance.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any metropolitan French département be on Météo‑France 'orange' or 'red' for heatwave on August 19?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any metropolitan French département be on Météo‑France 'orange' or 'red' for heatwave on August 19?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.