📍Politics·NationalCloses Dec 31 · Results Jan 1
Will Sumar formally announce and endorse Irene Montero as its candidate for Spain's 2027 general election?
33%
Stable · last 24h
591 bets · 17.6K credits6
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Live prediction markets about Spain. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
63%
crowd accuracy
164/261
right calls
22
open questions
Biggest miss
Will a Spanish man be one of the men's singles semifinalists at the 2026 US Open?
NoThe crowd was 84% sure, and they got it wrong.
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Will Sumar formally announce and endorse Irene Montero as its candidate for Spain's 2027 general election?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 21
33%
Yes
Open questions22
📍Politics·NationalCloses Oct 31 · Results Nov 1
Will the Sindicato de Inquilinas call a nationwide general strike in Spain?
46%
Stable · last 24h
521 bets · 15.2K credits4
Details →📍Politics·NationalCloses Nov 24 · Results Nov 26
Will Félix Bolaños get access to the full case file for his complaint against judge Juan Carlos Peinado?
50%
-5% last 24h
467 bets · 11.4K credits3
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📍Politics·NationalCloses Oct 30 · Results Nov 1
Will Spain carry out any official repatriations to Morocco of migrants who entered Ceuta around July 30–31?
71%
Stable · last 24h
466 bets · 16.3K credits5
Details →📍Politics·NationalCloses Nov 29 · Results Nov 30
Will Podemos formally announce it will join the Frente Amplio list that names Ada Colau as the coalition's candidate?
46%
-1% last 24h
442 bets · 8.5K credits1
Details →- Will Carles Puigdemont be granted amnesty?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 1442 predictions40%Yes
- Will Sumar adopt open primaries to choose its candidate for Spain's 2027 general election?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 1430 predictions24%Yes
- Will a public ICPEN report on the global influencer-advertising sweep include country-level results for Spain?Closes Oct 31 · Results Nov 1422 predictions22%Yes
- Will Jordi Turull be granted amnesty by the Spanish Constitutional Court?Closes Nov 30 · Results Dec 1421 predictions37%Yes
- Plex: Última partida: Will any contestants be publicly named?Closes Oct 31 · Results Nov 1416 predictions46%Yes
- Will Luis de la Fuente still be the head coach of Spain's men's national team on October 27?Closes Oct 26 · Results Oct 27155 predictions93%Yes
- MasterChef Celebrity Legends: Will Paz Vega still be competing on October 27?Closes Oct 27 · Results Oct 2829 predictions87%Yes
How it turned out262
- La Liga: Will Deportivo Alavés be in the top six on 24 October?No
The crowd was 76% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 24 - Will an overnight protest encampment still occupy Puerta del Sol on Oct 23?Yes
The crowd was 91% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 23 - Will any area in Spain be on 'aviso naranja' (orange alert) or 'aviso rojo' (red alert) for rain on October 22?Yes
The crowd was 67% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 23 - Will Spain google Isabel Allende more than Tana Rivera on October 22?No
The crowd was 58% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 23 - Will at least one area in Spain be under an AEMET 'aviso naranja' or 'aviso rojo' (orange or red) for coastal hazards on 21 October?No
The crowd was 67% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 22 - MasterChef: Will María Escoté still be competing on October 20?Yes
The crowd was 71% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 21 - MasterChef Celebrity Legends: Will Juan Betancourt still be competing on October 20?Yes
The crowd was 66% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 21 - Will at least 780 Renfe long- and medium-distance trains be 5+ minutes late on October 19?Yes
The crowd was 74% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 20 - Will any public school in Spain's Mediterranean coastal provinces or the Balearic Islands suspend in-person classes for a full school day because of the DANA (isolated upper-level low)?No
The crowd was 74% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 19 - Will any part of Spain's Mediterranean coast or the Balearic Islands be ordered evacuated because of the DANA?Yes
The crowd was 72% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 19