🚀Science·SpaceCloses Oct 27
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90%
Stable · last 24h
211 bets · 9.3K credits6
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ScienceOpened Aug 15 · Results Aug 19
Will the heat episode that began on July 28 reach at least 22 consecutive days of 'strong heat'?
52%
Stable · last 24h
📊 231 bettors💎 6.8K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 19🤖 Context
The market required Météo‑France to explicitly state that the heat episode which began on 28 July 2026 had lasted at least 22 consecutive days of 'strong heat', or for two major national news outlets to report that Météo‑France made that statement. Météo‑France reported the national heatwave began on 28 July 2026, and on 18 August 2026 outlets including Le Nouvel Obs and AFP reported that Météo‑France said the episode was still ongoing that day and had reached 22 consecutive days of 'strong heat'. Those reports meet the resolution rule, so the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes52%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 52% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Météo-France reported the national heatwave began on 28 July 2026. Independent coverage on 18–19 August confirms it was still ongoing on 18 August and had reached 22 consecutive days (per Le Nouvel Obs citing Météo-France’s ITN for 18 Aug, and an AFP report). This meets the “at least 22 consecutive days of strong heat” condition by 18 August 2026.
Source: nouvelobs.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 52%
- Predictions made
- 231
- Credits staked
- 6,792
- Comments
- 2
- Opened
- Aug 15, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 17, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 20, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- nouvelobs.com, courthousenews.com, meteofrance.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
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