Will the heat episode that began on July 28 reach at least 22 consecutive days of 'strong heat'?

🤖 Context

YES if Météo‑France explicitly states that the heat episode that began on July 28, 2026 has lasted at least 22 consecutive days of 'strong heat' according to its official counting, in a daily bulletin, official analysis, or public statement. YES also if at least two major national news outlets report that Météo‑France made that explicit statement. Otherwise NO. The market resolves no later than August 18, 2026.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 17, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 19, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tf1info.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 56%, based on 30 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

56%

Predictions made

30

Credits staked

1,082

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 15, 2026

Closes

Aug 17, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 19, 2026

Resolution source

tf1info.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 17, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 19, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 56% and NO 44%, based on 30 predictions and 1.1K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tf1info.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the heat episode that began on July 28 reach at least 22 consecutive days of 'strong heat'?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the heat episode that began on July 28 reach at least 22 consecutive days of 'strong heat'?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.